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Positive conditions for borrowers | ATO issues tax scam warning | Twelve Grains Capital

Interest payments reach 25-year low



Record-low interest rates are helping drive strong buyer interest and surging prices in many property markets throughout Australia. The share of income that households are devoting to mortgage repayments has fallen to its lowest level since the mid-1980s, according to AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver. “There is no denying housing affordability is poor, debt is high and some households are suffering significant mortgage stress. But most borrowers appear to be able to service their mortgages,” Dr Oliver said. “In the absence of an unexpected renewed economic downturn, it’s hard to see much rise in distressed sales. It’s also easy to see from this chart, when combined with home buyer incentives, why home borrowing and buying is surging again.” Home loan applications reached record levels in January, according to the most recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. In other words, buyers are out in force. So if you’re planning to buy in 2021, don’t delay, because waiting could potentially cost you tens of thousands of dollars. Get in touch if you need a home loan


ATO warns Australians about fake calls demanding money


Beware: there has been a spike in automated scam calls impersonating the Australian Taxation Office. Scammers are calling people to claim the ATO has suspended their tax file number due to suspected fraudulent activity. Targets are then asked to transfer their money to ‘the ATO’ (i.e. the scammers) so the tax office can protect their money while the matter is resolved. The ATO said that while it does call taxpayers, it would never:

  • send unsolicited pre-recorded phone messages

  • use aggressive behaviour or threaten you with arrest

  • suspend your TFN

  • request direct transfers of money to a personal bank account

  • project the ATO’s number onto your caller ID

The ATO said that if you receive a call, email or SMS and aren’t sure who’s contacting you, “it’s OK to hang up or not respond”. Instead, phone the ATO’s dedicated scam line 1800 008 540 to check if the contact was legitimate. Visit the ATO’s scams page


Balance of power tips further in landlords’ favour


It’s a great time to be a property investor, with vacancy rates falling throughout Australia. Vacancy rates fell in six capital cities between December and January, and held steady in the other two, according to new data from SQM Research.



Sydney and Melbourne are currently tenants’ markets, even though vacancy rates are falling. However, the balance of power favours landlords in the other capitals. If you’re a property investor and there’s a limited supply of rental accommodation:

  • it’s easier for you to find tenants

  • it’s easier for you to raise rents

Another reason it’s such a great time to be a property investor is that with interest rates at record-low levels, there’s a good chance your property’s income (rent) will exceed the expenses (mortgage payments, property management fees, maintenance and insurance). Call us if you want to buy an investment


Mortgage deferrals keep falling


The vast majority of borrowers are now paying their mortgages, with only 2.4% of home loans on pause at the end of December, according to new data.



Banks allowed Australians to pause their mortgages repayments in March 2020, at the start of the Covid crisis. The share of deferrals peaked in May and has been falling since:

  • April = 9%

  • May = 11%

  • June = 10%

  • July = 9%

  • August = 9%

  • September = 7%

  • October = 4%

  • November = 3%

Contact me if you’re struggling with your mortgage. Most lenders have hardship programs, and the sooner we speak to them about your issue, the more favourable the result is likely to be.



Contact Us Twelve Grains Capital 319 Sussex St Sydney NSW 2000

Credit Representative Number 498878 P: 1800 807 620 | View Website

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